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April 9, 2007
Eastern Playoff Preview
By Darryl Dobbs, TheFourthPeriod.com 

TFP's Fantasy Expert Darryl Dobbs takes a look at the teams in the East and what to expect in hockey's second season.

Atlanta
Since they have not made the post-season in their franchise history prior to now, it is difficult to gauge which players will do what. The most obvious observation here is that Keith Tkachuk and Alexei Zhitnik – the newest members of the squad – have point totals that are deceiving for the season. Since their arrival in Atlanta, both players have stepped up. Tkachuk's points per game has increased from 0.7 in St. Louis to 0.82 in Atlanta, while Zhitnik's has increased from 0.4 in Philadelphia and Long Island to 0.82 in Atlanta. Eric Belanger has also picked up his offensive game since joining the team. Other than these three players, Ilya Kovalchuk, Marian Hossa and Slava Kozlov are the only ones truly worth taking. Bobby Holik makes a really nice dark horse though.

Buffalo
Tim Connolly made (and scored in) his regular season debut on Saturday and will make a premium dark horse selection in your playoff pool. Many of your opponents at the draft will be carrying only the final stats to the table – and they'll have to look pretty far down the list to Connolly's point totals. Granted, he is a risk to be re-injured, but his upside is at least a point per game. Derek Roy and Chris Drury both stepped it up in a big way last postseason, while Maxim Afinogenov, Ales Kotalik and Brian Campbell all slipped when the playoffs began.

New Jersey
For the last 15 years or so, you could never be laughed at for stocking up on Devils. As long as Martin Brodeur is between the pipes, this team can contend. The usual suspects are worth drafting – Patrick Elias, Brian Gionta and Scott Gomez. One word of warning on Gionta – he has fought groin problems all season long and recently sustained a foot injury. Sophomore Zach Parise is shouldering more responsibility with every game and he just might be the second-best skater to draft on this team behind Elias. Travis Zajac has been hot down the stretch, but will be a boom or bust pick given the fact that he is a rookie and freshmen tend to have their ice time rolled back a little in the postseason. Brian Rafalski and Jamie Langenbrunner really stepped up last year in April, so you may want to nudge them up your draft lists a little.

New York Islanders
The Islanders did not make the post-season last campaign and nearly every one of their acquisitions that did participate, performed poorly. Tom Poti (N.Y. Rangers), Mike Sillinger (Nashville), Brendan Witt (Nashville), Richard Zednik (Washington) and Marc-Andre Bergeron (Edmonton) combined for two points in 38 playoff games last year. Both Bergeron and Sillinger have huge offensive roles with their new team. Expect them to improve tremendously. Which Alexei Yashin will we see? In three different playoff runs, the captain combined for just three points in 13 games. In his other four postseason visits he had 24 points in 30 games. Sillinger is third on the team in scoring, while Bergeron has 20 points in 22 games with his new team. The two top playoff picks on this team are Ryan Smyth and Jason Blake. Not only are they 1-2 in team offense, but they also play playoff hockey – lots of hustle, lots of heart and clutch goals.

New York Rangers
The entire team pretty much floundered with Jaromir Jagr and Henrik Lundqvist out of the lineup last year in the first round, so you can’t make decisions on moving players up or down your list based on that. Brendan Shanahan is a playoff warrior, of that there is little question. An interesting dark horse will be one of Marcel Hossa or Ryan Callahan. The latter is a rookie who will step into the lineup and takeover if the former stumbles or does not return from his knee injury. Hossa was red-hot for about three weeks prior to spraining his knee and showed excellent chemistry with Jagr. Callahan has shown decent numbers in limited action. Sean Avery has 20 points in 28 contests since joining the Rangers and is deserving of a bump upwards on your draft list.

Ottawa
Wade Redden, Peter Schaefer and Jason Spezza all had strong playoff seasons last year. Andrej Meszaros and Chris Neil had weak postseasons offensively, garnering just two points in 10 games between them. Redden has battled several ailments this season, particularly his groin and ribs, but his numbers have really improved in the second half and that certainly merits consideration when formulating your draft list. Mike Fisher has had a strong year and makes an excellent dark horse to post nearly a point per game.

Pittsburgh
How do you tackle a team full of inexperience playoff players when putting together your list? Other than Mark Recchi and Gary Roberts, the Pens are short on postseason experience. Since Pittsburgh relies heavily on their power play, it would be wise to start there - especially since this will become even more pronounced in the playoffs. Ryan Whitney has been battling a groin injury. Nonetheless, he should be moved up your draft list. Ditto for Sergei Gonchar. If you like the Pens to go a couple of rounds, you probably couldn’t move Sidney Crosby or Evgeni Malkin any higher than they already are (that is – first and second). Michel Ouellet, Jordan Staal and Erik Christensen are the members of the second power-play unit. Colby Armstrong has seen time on Sidney Crosby’s line of late and makes an excellent dark horse.

Tampa Bay
While Martin St. Louis, Vincent Lecavalier and Brad Richards are no-brainers for your playoff pool if you like this team to go far, it should also be noted that the Lightning have been using their defensemen a little more in terms of offensive contributions. Dan Boyle has a career high in points this season, Filip Kuba has had several hot streaks, and Paul Ranger has also proved adept at posting points. Ranger also posted six points in five postseason contests last year, stepping up more than any other member of his team.

Dobber's Interactive Playoff Draft List – You select the winning teams, press a button and "presto," you have your printable winning list for your playoff pool. Complete with injury notes, dark horses, and optional goaltenders. Buy it now for $7.75 at www.dobberhockey.com

For more fantasy tips, visit www.dobberhockey.com

Mar. 19, 2007 - Transplanted Oilers Look Good on the Island
Mar. 12, 2007 - A Case for the Defense
Mar. 05, 2007 - Fantasy Hockey Potpourri
Feb. 26, 2007 - Kovalchuk turnaround has finally arrived
Feb. 19, 2007 - Trade Buzz – Fantasy Impact, Part III
Feb. 12, 2007 - Trade Buzz – Fantasy Impact, Part II
Feb. 05, 2007 - Trade Buzz – Fantasy Impact, Part I
Jan. 29, 2007 - Bulin Wall Crumbling?
Jan. 22, 2007 - Dan Boyle: Underrated, but One of the Best Fantasy Defensemen
Jan. 15, 2007 - Back on Track
Jan. 08, 2007 - Leafs Youngsters get Chance to Shine
Jan. 01, 2007 - Is the Suffering Finally Over?
Dec. 18, 2006 - Malone Finds Timing
Dec. 11, 2006 - Erat Breaking Out
Dec. 04, 2006 - Pavelski Becoming This Year's Bernier
Nov. 27, 2006 - Radulov Gives Sneak Preview
Nov. 20, 2006 - Need Penalty Minutes?
Nov. 13, 2006 - Broken Ankles/Feet This Year's Groin Injury
Nov. 06, 2006 - Fantasy Surprises After the First Month
Oct. 30, 2006 - Eight Games (and Counting)
Oct. 23, 2006 - The Magical 10th Game
Oct. 16, 2006 - Pitkanen Becoming an Elite Fantasy Rearguard
Oct. 09, 2006 - Out of the Shadows
Oct. 02, 2006 - Was McDonald's season a fluke?
June 19, 2006 - Players to Watch on Draft Day
June 12, 2006 - AHLers Proving Their Worth
June 5, 2006 - Prospects Are Proving Their Worth, Too
May 29, 2006 - UFAs - Hidden Gems II
May 22, 2006 - UFAs - Hidden Gems I
May 15, 2006 - Sabres Rattling
May 08, 2006 - Home Ice Advantage
Apr. 24, 2006 - Can Rangers Stop 'EGG' Line?
Apr. 17, 2006 - The Hot Hand Going Into the Playoffs
Apr. 10, 2006 - Big Second Lines Tough to Contain
Apr. 03, 2006 - Getzlaf as PP QB has Ducks Rolling
Mar. 27, 2006 - Bang For Your Buck
Mar. 20, 2006 - Deadline 2006 – Fantasy Fallout, Part 2
Mar. 13, 2006 - Deadline 2006 – Fantasy Fallout, Part 1
Mar. 06, 2006 - Trade Deadline Looms II
Feb. 27, 2006 - Break Over, Deadline Looms
Feb. 06, 2006 - Risky Picks
Jan. 30, 2006 - The Future of Boston
Jan. 23, 2006 - High-Flying Canucks
Jan. 16, 2006 - Home Sweet Home
Jan. 09, 2006 - He's Baaack!
Jan. 02, 2006 - Young Pens Get Their Shot
Dec. 19, 2005 - The 'New' Sabres
Dec. 12, 2005 - Shark Outlook Upgraded to 'Buy'
Dec. 05, 2005 - Rejoice Over Recent Movement
Nov. 28, 2005 - The Most Underrated Fantasy Player
Nov. 21, 2005 - Chemistry in Chicago
Nov. 14, 2005 - Thrashers the Net
Nov. 07, 2005 - King of the L.A. blueline
Oct. 31, 2005 - October's Best and Worst Fantasy Players
Oct. 24, 2005 - Wild About Scoring
Oct. 17, 2005 - Striking Gold – Thanks to Linemates
Oct. 10, 2005 - A Surprise Fantasy Asset
Oct. 03, 2005 - Last of the Late Picks to Put You Over the Top
Sept. 26, 2005 - More Late Picks to Put You Over the Top
Sept. 19, 2005 - Late Picks to Make or Break Your Pool Team

 

Dobber's Fantasy Tips exclusively appear Monday's at TheFourthPeriod.com.
Comments/Concerns/Criticisms/Compliments: rotohockey@rogers.com

 

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