April 9,
2007
Eastern Playoff Preview
By Darryl Dobbs, TheFourthPeriod.com
TFP's Fantasy Expert Darryl
Dobbs takes a look at the teams in the East and what to expect
in hockey's second season.
Atlanta
Since they have not made the post-season in their franchise
history prior to now, it is difficult to gauge which players
will do what. The most obvious observation here is that Keith
Tkachuk and Alexei Zhitnik – the newest members of the squad –
have point totals that are deceiving for the season. Since
their arrival in Atlanta, both players have stepped up.
Tkachuk's points per game has increased from 0.7 in St. Louis
to 0.82 in Atlanta, while Zhitnik's has increased from 0.4 in
Philadelphia and Long Island to 0.82 in Atlanta. Eric Belanger
has also picked up his offensive game since joining the team.
Other than these three players, Ilya Kovalchuk, Marian Hossa
and Slava Kozlov are the only ones truly worth taking. Bobby
Holik makes a really nice dark horse though.
Buffalo
Tim Connolly made (and scored in) his regular season debut on
Saturday and will make a premium dark horse selection in your
playoff pool. Many of your opponents at the draft will be
carrying only the final stats to the table – and they'll have
to look pretty far down the list to Connolly's point totals.
Granted, he is a risk to be re-injured, but his upside is at
least a point per game. Derek Roy and Chris Drury both stepped
it up in a big way last postseason, while Maxim Afinogenov,
Ales Kotalik and Brian Campbell all slipped when the playoffs
began.
New Jersey
For the last 15 years or so, you could never be laughed at for
stocking up on Devils. As long as Martin Brodeur is between
the pipes, this team can contend. The usual suspects are worth
drafting – Patrick Elias, Brian Gionta and Scott Gomez. One
word of warning on Gionta – he has fought groin problems all
season long and recently sustained a foot injury. Sophomore
Zach Parise is shouldering more responsibility with every game
and he just might be the second-best skater to draft on this
team behind Elias. Travis Zajac has been hot down the stretch,
but will be a boom or bust pick given the fact that he is a
rookie and freshmen tend to have their ice time rolled back a
little in the postseason. Brian Rafalski and Jamie
Langenbrunner really stepped up last year in April, so you may
want to nudge them up your draft lists a little.
New York Islanders
The Islanders did not make the post-season last campaign and
nearly every one of their acquisitions that did participate,
performed poorly. Tom Poti (N.Y. Rangers), Mike Sillinger
(Nashville), Brendan Witt (Nashville), Richard Zednik
(Washington) and Marc-Andre Bergeron (Edmonton) combined for
two points in 38 playoff games last year. Both Bergeron and
Sillinger have huge offensive roles with their new team.
Expect them to improve tremendously. Which Alexei Yashin will
we see? In three different playoff runs, the captain combined
for just three points in 13 games. In his other four
postseason visits he had 24 points in 30 games. Sillinger is
third on the team in scoring, while Bergeron has 20 points in
22 games with his new team. The two top playoff picks on this
team are Ryan Smyth and Jason Blake. Not only are they 1-2 in
team offense, but they also play playoff hockey – lots of
hustle, lots of heart and clutch goals.
New York Rangers
The entire team pretty much floundered with Jaromir Jagr and
Henrik Lundqvist out of the lineup last year in the first
round, so you can’t make decisions on moving players up or
down your list based on that. Brendan Shanahan is a playoff
warrior, of that there is little question. An interesting dark
horse will be one of Marcel Hossa or Ryan Callahan. The latter
is a rookie who will step into the lineup and takeover if the
former stumbles or does not return from his knee injury. Hossa
was red-hot for about three weeks prior to spraining his knee
and showed excellent chemistry with Jagr. Callahan has shown
decent numbers in limited action. Sean Avery has 20 points in
28 contests since joining the Rangers and is deserving of a
bump upwards on your draft list.
Ottawa
Wade Redden, Peter Schaefer and Jason Spezza all had strong
playoff seasons last year. Andrej Meszaros and Chris Neil had
weak postseasons offensively, garnering just two points in 10
games between them. Redden has battled several ailments this
season, particularly his groin and ribs, but his numbers have
really improved in the second half and that certainly merits
consideration when formulating your draft list. Mike Fisher
has had a strong year and makes an excellent dark horse to
post nearly a point per game.
Pittsburgh
How do you tackle a team full of inexperience playoff players
when putting together your list? Other than Mark Recchi and
Gary Roberts, the Pens are short on postseason experience.
Since Pittsburgh relies heavily on their power play, it would
be wise to start there - especially since this will become
even more pronounced in the playoffs. Ryan Whitney has been
battling a groin injury. Nonetheless, he should be moved up
your draft list. Ditto for Sergei Gonchar. If you like the
Pens to go a couple of rounds, you probably couldn’t move
Sidney Crosby or Evgeni Malkin any higher than they already
are (that is – first and second). Michel Ouellet, Jordan Staal
and Erik Christensen are the members of the second power-play
unit. Colby Armstrong has seen time on Sidney Crosby’s line of
late and makes an excellent dark horse.
Tampa Bay
While Martin St. Louis, Vincent Lecavalier and Brad Richards
are no-brainers for your playoff pool if you like this team to
go far, it should also be noted that the Lightning have been
using their defensemen a little more in terms of offensive
contributions. Dan Boyle has a career high in points this
season, Filip Kuba has had several hot streaks, and Paul
Ranger has also proved adept at posting points. Ranger also
posted six points in five postseason contests last year,
stepping up more than any other member of his team.
Dobber's Interactive Playoff Draft
List – You select the winning teams, press a button and
"presto," you have your printable winning list for your
playoff pool. Complete with injury notes, dark horses, and
optional goaltenders. Buy it now for $7.75 at
www.dobberhockey.com
For more
fantasy tips, visit www.dobberhockey.com
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Dobber's
Fantasy Tips exclusively appear Monday's at
TheFourthPeriod.com.
Comments/Concerns/Criticisms/Compliments: rotohockey@rogers.com
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