November 6, 2006
Fantasy Surprises After
the First Month
By Darryl Dobbs, TheFourthPeriod.com
October is now behind us, and
fantasy owners are starting to get a handle on where their
players sit in terms of value in their hockey pool. It
generally takes about a month because every season brings some
surprises, and if a player is still surprising after one
month, then chances are there is some substance to the
player’s trend. Here are the 10 biggest fantasy hockey
surprises for October:
Henrik Zetterberg, Detroit. The team in general is not
scoring a pile of goals, due in part because of the departure
of Brendan Shanahan in the off-season, but also due to coach
Mike Babcock’s coaching style. Despite three points in his
last two games, Zetterberg should still have more of an
offensive impact than he has. Just six points in 14 games this
season – more was expected of the slick-skating Swede.
Maxim Afinogenov, Buffalo. Apparent separated shoulder
aside, Afinogenov has exploded out of the gates. Prior to
Saturday’s contest where the dazzling Russian apparently
injured his ‘upper body’, he posted 18 points in his last nine
games. All indications are that he will put last season’s
career-high of 73 points in jeopardy – even if he misses the
next 15 games or so with his shoulder injury.
Brendan Shanahan, NY Rangers. All the so-called experts
(yours truly, included) pegged ‘Shanny’ for 35 goals and 70
points this season, give or take a few. At the age of 37,
nobody is expecting 40 goals from a player. Shanahan has 12
goals in 13 games this year, so it would take a fairly sizable
slump for him to tally 35. He is currently tied for the NHL
lead with Marian Hossa, and while he likely will not finish in
the Top 5 in NHL goal scoring, expect the veteran to reach 40.
Again.
Petr Sykora, Edmonton. All indications out of training
camp pointed to a big year for the talented Czech. His
chemistry with countryman Ales Hemsky was, and still is,
undeniable. That being said, the 29-year-old is currently on
pace for over 100 points this season. While it is not likely
that Sykora will reach that lofty mark, his career high of 81
points is quite achievable.
Ryan Whitney, Pittsburgh. All the pundits saw breakout
years from such rearguards as rookie Matt Carle (San Jose),
John-Michael Liles (Colorado), and regularly hyped stars Dion
Phaneuf (Calgary), and Jay Bouwmeester (Florida). What the
pundits failed to take into account were two things – Sidney
Crosby and Evgeni Malkin. So while those two superstars take
turns bulging the twine on the power play, the player that
logs a ton of PP time is bound to rack up assists. Whitney has
eight of them, and 10 points in total. Expect the sophomore to
tally in the sixties this season, with much more to come in
the future.
Radim Vrbata, Chicago. While there is certainly no
doubt that the loss of Michal Handzus for the season, and
Martin Havlat for a few weeks, has (and will) hurt Vrbata’s
numbers, there is no denying what he is doing for this team.
He has 12 points in 13 games and is a plus-5. He has just one
point in five games since all the injuries struck in Chicago,
but the entire team has not been scoring. When they score,
chances are Vrbata contributes. With Havlat return in a couple
of weeks, Vrbata should have no trouble reaching 65 points
this season.
Craig Conroy, Los Angeles. After 16 games, the veteran
pivot has just three points and is a minus-8. He is also still
searching for that first goal after tallying 22 of them last
year. At 35 has he hit a wall? As long as he stays in Los
Angeles, the answer is – yes.
Jonathan Cheechoo/Joe Thornton/Mark Bell, San Jose.
This line has not fulfilled its promise as of yet, although
with Bell plagued by groin (and legal) problems, perhaps it is
not fair to judge so early. That being said, coach Ron Wilson
has judged them ‘so early’, and has moved them to different
lines. Combined, the three of them are a minus-18 this season.
Gilbert Brule, Columbus. Remember this poll found on
hundreds of hockey websites? “Who will challenge Evgeni Malkin
for the Calder Trophy? Gilbert Brule, Anze Kopitar, Wojtek
Wolski, Alexander Radulov, Matt Carle, or Patrick O’Sullivan?”
We can safely assume that Malkin will win this year, with
Kopitar and Carle providing the stiffest competition. Brule,
on the other hand, has yet to match last season’s production
of four points in only seven games. He has just one in 11, and
is a minus-6. In fact, Radulov was returned to the minors,
called back up, has played just a few minutes in each of six
games, and still has more goals (two) than Brule.
Paul Stastny, Colorado. In the aforementioned poll that
you saw on several sites in September, did any of them have
Stastny listed? Not on your life. With 12 points in 14 games,
and garnering more ice time than fellow rookie Wolski or
sophomore Marek Svatos, Stastny is a key part of this Colorado
team. Behind Malkin, Carle, and Kopitar he is hands down the
fourth-best rookie in this year’s crop.
For more
fantasy tips, visit www.dobberhockey.com
Oct. 30, 2006 -
Eight Games (and Counting)
Oct. 23, 2006 -
The Magical 10th Game
Oct. 16, 2006 -
Pitkanen Becoming an Elite Fantasy
Rearguard
Oct. 09, 2006 -
Out of the Shadows
Oct. 02, 2006 -
Was McDonald's season a fluke?
June 19, 2006 -
Players to Watch on Draft Day
June 12, 2006 -
AHLers Proving Their Worth
June 5, 2006 -
Prospects Are Proving Their Worth,
Too
May
29, 2006 -
UFAs - Hidden Gems II
May
22, 2006 -
UFAs - Hidden Gems I
May 15, 2006 -
Sabres Rattling
May 08, 2006 -
Home Ice Advantage
Apr. 24, 2006 - Can Rangers Stop 'EGG' Line?
Apr. 17, 2006 - The Hot Hand Going Into the Playoffs
Apr. 10, 2006 - Big Second Lines Tough to Contain
Apr. 03, 2006 - Getzlaf as PP QB has Ducks Rolling
Mar. 27, 2006 - Bang For Your Buck
Mar. 20, 2006 - Deadline 2006 – Fantasy Fallout, Part 2
Mar. 13, 2006 - Deadline 2006 – Fantasy Fallout, Part 1
Mar. 06, 2006 - Trade Deadline Looms II
Feb. 27, 2006 - Break Over, Deadline Looms
Feb. 06, 2006 - Risky
Picks |
Jan. 30, 2006 - The
Future of Boston
Jan. 23, 2006 - High-Flying
Canucks
Jan. 16, 2006 - Home
Sweet Home
Jan. 09, 2006 - He's
Baaack!
Jan. 02, 2006 - Young
Pens Get Their Shot
Dec. 19, 2005 - The
'New' Sabres
Dec. 12, 2005 - Shark
Outlook Upgraded to 'Buy'
Dec. 05, 2005 - Rejoice
Over Recent Movement
Nov. 28, 2005 - The
Most Underrated Fantasy Player
Nov. 21, 2005 - Chemistry
in Chicago
Nov. 14, 2005 - Thrashers
the Net
Nov. 07, 2005 - King
of the L.A. blueline
Oct. 31, 2005 - October's
Best and Worst Fantasy Players
Oct. 24, 2005 - Wild
About Scoring
Oct. 17, 2005 - Striking
Gold – Thanks to Linemates
Oct. 10, 2005 - A
Surprise Fantasy Asset
Oct. 03, 2005 - Last
of the Late Picks to Put You Over the Top
Sept. 26, 2005 - More
Late Picks to Put You Over the Top
Sept. 19, 2005 - Late
Picks to Make or Break Your Pool Team |
Dobber's
Fantasy Tips exclusively appear Monday's at
TheFourthPeriod.com.
Comments/Concerns/Criticisms/Compliments: rotohockey@rogers.com
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