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October 30, 2006
Eight Games (and Counting)
By Darryl Dobbs, TheFourthPeriod.com 

The Detroit Red Wings may have a 6-4-1 record, but the team has been absolutely brutal to fantasy owners.

Not only are they the sixth-stingiest team in terms of giving up goals (and in the process stopping poolies from picking up significant points), but they have been pretty weak offensively themselves. Currently, only rearguards Nik Lidstrom and Mathieu Schneider are producing to expectations with 10 and nine points, respectively.

That, however, is deceptive. Take away Game 3, in which the Red Wings slaughtered the Coyotes 9-2, and Lidstrom would only have seven points, and Schneider just five. In fact, in the eight games since that Phoenix embarrassment, the Red Wings have scored just 17 goals. Barely two per game.

Eight games. That is precisely how many games Henrik Zetterberg has been held pointless. The disturbing fact to Zetterberg owners is that the Wings have a winning record in those eight games. They are 4-3-1 despite only scoring more than three goals just once – they scored four against Dallas.

It would silly to think that Zetterberg, who is coming off an 85-point season, will tally just over 20 points this year (his current pace). However, the fact of the matter is that Detroit is winning hockey games by playing defensively, so even when Zetterberg does get going – improving on last year is out of the question.

The way things are shaping up, the Red Wings will finish in the neighborhood of 42-30-10, with 94 points and a seventh or eighth spot in the Western Conference. Their top scorer will likely be Lidstrom or Pavel Datsyuk with 70-75 points. Zetterberg will finish with 65-70.

This team lost 40-goal-scorer Brendan Shanahan to free agency in the summer, and have brought in coach Mike Babcock's defensive coaching style. As long as Detroit is winning more than they are losing, do not expect this to change.

Meanwhile...

...
Despite the fact that Pittsburgh sophomore Colby Armstrong has just three points (and no goals) in nine games, he is still fantasy worthy. He is playing on a line with Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin, and those two are producing in a big way. As long as that happens, Armstrong's job on that line is safe, and as long as he remains on that line, the points will come.

...
Craig Conroy has one point in 13 games and none in his last 10. His offensive role in Los Angeles has disappeared under a new coach. Expect him to be moved to a team in need of a pivot shortly. He should still garner 55 points, but that trade needs to happen soon.

...
Five Buffalo Sabres have a point per game or more: Daniel Briere, Maxim Afinogenov, Jason Pominville, Chris Drury and Tomas Vanek.

...
After beginning the year with just one point in four games, Carolina superstar Eric Staal has 13 in his last eight. Expect another run at 100 for Staal, who celebrated his 22nd birthday yesterday.

...
Unheralded rookie Paul Stastny of the Colorado Avalanche has nine points in his last eight games. He is currently playing on a very productive second line with Wojtek Wolski and Milan Hejduk. Of the three, Stastny is the most underrated, and least heralded. However, he just may be the best fantasy player among them.

For more fantasy tips, visit www.dobberhockey.com

Oct. 23, 2006 - The Magical 10th Game
Oct. 16, 2006 - Pitkanen Becoming an Elite Fantasy Rearguard
Oct. 09, 2006 - Out of the Shadows
Oct. 02, 2006 - Was McDonald's season a fluke?
June 19, 2006 - Players to Watch on Draft Day
June 12, 2006 - AHLers Proving Their Worth
June 5, 2006 - Prospects Are Proving Their Worth, Too
May 29, 2006 - UFAs - Hidden Gems II
May 22, 2006 - UFAs - Hidden Gems I
May 15, 2006 - Sabres Rattling
May 08, 2006 - Home Ice Advantage
Apr. 24, 2006 - Can Rangers Stop 'EGG' Line?
Apr. 17, 2006 - The Hot Hand Going Into the Playoffs
Apr. 10, 2006 - Big Second Lines Tough to Contain
Apr. 03, 2006 - Getzlaf as PP QB has Ducks Rolling
Mar. 27, 2006 - Bang For Your Buck
Mar. 20, 2006 - Deadline 2006 – Fantasy Fallout, Part 2
Mar. 13, 2006 - Deadline 2006 – Fantasy Fallout, Part 1
Mar. 06, 2006 - Trade Deadline Looms II
Feb. 27, 2006 - Break Over, Deadline Looms
Feb. 06, 2006 - Risky Picks
Jan. 30, 2006 - The Future of Boston
Jan. 23, 2006 - High-Flying Canucks
Jan. 16, 2006 - Home Sweet Home
Jan. 09, 2006 - He's Baaack!
Jan. 02, 2006 - Young Pens Get Their Shot
Dec. 19, 2005 - The 'New' Sabres
Dec. 12, 2005 - Shark Outlook Upgraded to 'Buy'
Dec. 05, 2005 - Rejoice Over Recent Movement
Nov. 28, 2005 - The Most Underrated Fantasy Player
Nov. 21, 2005 - Chemistry in Chicago
Nov. 14, 2005 - Thrashers the Net
Nov. 07, 2005 - King of the L.A. blueline
Oct. 31, 2005 - October's Best and Worst Fantasy Players
Oct. 24, 2005 - Wild About Scoring
Oct. 17, 2005 - Striking Gold – Thanks to Linemates
Oct. 10, 2005 - A Surprise Fantasy Asset
Oct. 03, 2005 - Last of the Late Picks to Put You Over the Top
Sept. 26, 2005 - More Late Picks to Put You Over the Top
Sept. 19, 2005 - Late Picks to Make or Break Your Pool Team

 

Dobber's Fantasy Tips exclusively appear Monday's at TheFourthPeriod.com.
Comments/Concerns/Criticisms/Compliments: rotohockey@rogers.com

 

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