MAGAZINE > ASK DAVE > RUMORS > EXPERTS > RANKINGS > TFP RADIO SHOW > CONTACT US

 

 
 Home |

 >> Scores / Schedule

 >> Injuries
 NHL RUMORS
 >> Rumors
 TFP RADIO SHOW
 >> Radio Home
 >> Broadcast Schedule
 TFP MAGAZINE
 >> Magazine Home
 >> Subscribe Now!
 FEATURES
 >> Ask Dave
 >> Rankings
 >> Experts
 >> Team Reports
 SPECIAL EVENTS
 >> 2006 World Juniors
 >> 2006 NHL Draft
 >> 2006 NHL Awards
 ABOUT TFP
 >> About Us
 >> Our Team
 >> Contact Us
  
October 23, 2006
The Magical 10th Game
By Darryl Dobbs, TheFourthPeriod.com 

Fantasy owners should be cognizant of a team's 10th game of the season. NHL General Managers certainly are.

According to the NHL CBA, a rookie who plays in his 10th game will be considered to have played an entire season. That is, if they signed a typical three-year entry-level deal, they will have officially played their first year. It also affects a player in terms of his future arbitration year, unrestricted free agency, etc. Needless to say, a rookie would have to play a pretty major role with his team if he plans to stick around beyond game number nine.

While the likes of Evgeni Malkin, Dustin Penner, Matt Carle, and Anze Kopitar are locks to remain with the big club, the rest of the 2006-07 rookie crew are by no means locks. Below are some players of fantasy interest, and where they stand.

Paul Stastny, Colorado. Stastny is getting more ice time than fellow rookie Wojtek Wolski, and is being used in all special team situations. The chances are quite good that he will remain with the squad and post 40+ numbers this season. His long-term upside is 75 points. Chance of sticking: 90%.

Wojtek Wolski, Colorado. He plays a heck of game one night, and is invisible the next, but he does have three goals. He was sent back to junior after the ninth game last season, but do not expect that to happen again. Chance of sticking: 95%.

Lasse Kukkonen, Chicago. The 25-year-old Finn was a surprise in training camp, doing everything this fall that Brent Seabrook did last fall. He has six points in eight games, and will remain with the team and finish in the high-thirties. Chance of sticking: 100%.

Jordan Staal, Pittsburgh. A week ago, I would have chiseled in stone Staal's chances of making the team at about 10%. His fine play on the penalty kill, and the fact that he is getting 12 minutes of ice time per game, tells me the Pens will keep him. All three of his goals are shorthanded markers – one of which was a penalty shot. Chance of sticking: 75%.

Phil Kessel, Boston. The 18-year-old has three points in seven games, but is seeing quite a lot of ice time for a rookie. His minus-2, combined with a six percent shooting percentage could see him spend a year in the AHL. It really is coach Dave Lewis' call. Chance of sticking: 50%.

Patrick O'Sullivan, Los Angeles. He has already been a healthy scratch, but on the other hand he has shown flashes of brilliance. Is this his year? If not, he is a Calder favorite for next season. Chance of sticking: 40%.

Gilbert Brule, Columbus. Last week I would have stated unequivocally - 100 percent chance he is sent down. Now? Not so fast. Coach Gerard Gallant placed him on the top line on Saturday, and has now given him quality ice time for two games, and he is taking advantage. Chances of sticking: 40%.

Travis Zajac, New Jersey. The Devils signed him out of college early for a reason, and Zajac has not looked out of place – playing nearly 14 minutes per game. The Devils are still in salary-cap peril, and Zajac's relatively cheap price will keep him in the lineup. Expect about 30 points this season. Chances of sticking: 99%.

Ladislav Smid, Edmonton. The Oilers rearguard, acquired in the off-season as part of the Chris Pronger package, has been solid enough in his own end to warrant a full season in the NHL. Currently the No.5 defenseman on the squad, Smid will climb up the ladder a couple of notches each season until he is their main man. Chances of sticking: 90%.

Nigel Dawes, NY Rangers. A surprise to make the team, Dawes earned his spot. That being said, seven minutes per game is a waste of a good prospect's development. Chances of sticking: 10%.

For more fantasy tips, visit www.dobberhockey.com

Oct. 16, 2006 - Pitkanen Becoming an Elite Fantasy Rearguard
Oct. 09, 2006 - Out of the Shadows
Oct. 02, 2006 - Was McDonald's season a fluke?
June 19, 2006 - Players to Watch on Draft Day
June 12, 2006 - AHLers Proving Their Worth
June 5, 2006 - Prospects Are Proving Their Worth, Too
May 29, 2006 - UFAs - Hidden Gems II
May 22, 2006 - UFAs - Hidden Gems I
May 15, 2006 - Sabres Rattling
May 08, 2006 - Home Ice Advantage
Apr. 24, 2006 - Can Rangers Stop 'EGG' Line?
Apr. 17, 2006 - The Hot Hand Going Into the Playoffs
Apr. 10, 2006 - Big Second Lines Tough to Contain
Apr. 03, 2006 - Getzlaf as PP QB has Ducks Rolling
Mar. 27, 2006 - Bang For Your Buck
Mar. 20, 2006 - Deadline 2006 – Fantasy Fallout, Part 2
Mar. 13, 2006 - Deadline 2006 – Fantasy Fallout, Part 1
Mar. 06, 2006 - Trade Deadline Looms II
Feb. 27, 2006 - Break Over, Deadline Looms
Feb. 06, 2006 - Risky Picks
Jan. 30, 2006 - The Future of Boston
Jan. 23, 2006 - High-Flying Canucks
Jan. 16, 2006 - Home Sweet Home
Jan. 09, 2006 - He's Baaack!
Jan. 02, 2006 - Young Pens Get Their Shot
Dec. 19, 2005 - The 'New' Sabres
Dec. 12, 2005 - Shark Outlook Upgraded to 'Buy'
Dec. 05, 2005 - Rejoice Over Recent Movement
Nov. 28, 2005 - The Most Underrated Fantasy Player
Nov. 21, 2005 - Chemistry in Chicago
Nov. 14, 2005 - Thrashers the Net
Nov. 07, 2005 - King of the L.A. blueline
Oct. 31, 2005 - October's Best and Worst Fantasy Players
Oct. 24, 2005 - Wild About Scoring
Oct. 17, 2005 - Striking Gold – Thanks to Linemates
Oct. 10, 2005 - A Surprise Fantasy Asset
Oct. 03, 2005 - Last of the Late Picks to Put You Over the Top
Sept. 26, 2005 - More Late Picks to Put You Over the Top
Sept. 19, 2005 - Late Picks to Make or Break Your Pool Team

 

Dobber's Fantasy Tips exclusively appear Monday's at TheFourthPeriod.com.
Comments/Concerns/Criticisms/Compliments: rotohockey@rogers.com

 

 Contact Us | Jobs @ TFP | Advertise | Privacy Policy 
 © 2006 TFP Media, Inc. | All Rights Reserved | The Fourth Period™ is a registered trademark.