June 19, 2006
Players to Watch on Draft
Day
By Darryl Dobbs, TheFourthPeriod.com
The annual NHL entry draft is
this Saturday, June 24. Those of you in keeper league hockey
pools will be very interested in which of the players drafted
in the early rounds will make an early impact in the NHL, and
which ones are long-term projects.
Goaltenders
The top drafted goaltender in the upcoming draft will be
Jonathan Bernier. He is the only netminder that will go in the
first round, and he is pegged to go 15th to 30th. The fact
that he is the only consensus first round pick amongst goalies
may see him drafted as high as the Top 10. However, as things
stand right now, his upside is that of your average No. 1
starter. There'll be no Roberto Luongo or Martin Brodeur here.
Bernier is a butterfly goalie who has great rebound control,
but sometimes reverts to a paddle-down style which sometimes
hinders as much as helps.
Other goalies that will go in the early rounds:
Leland Irving - Put up stellar numbers in the WHL and could
sneak into the first round.
Jhonas Enroth The Swedish goaltender's diminutive size may
push him lower in the draft than he deserves to be, but his
consistency could make him a steal.
Riku Helenius Finnish goaltender is at least five years away
from ever making an impact in the NHL.
Unless your keeper league is as deep as they come, no
goaltender in this year's draft is worth picking up this
summer. The wait would be too long.
Defensemen
As a general rule of thumb, I do not recommend picking up any
defensemen for a keeper league unless they have either played
some games in the NHL, your pool stipulates that there be a
certain amount of defensemen on your squad. Bear that in mind.
The player chosen first overall in the entire entry draft will
be Erik Johnson, a two-way defenseman who is 6-4, 222 pounds
and still growing. He will not be in the NHL next season, as
he intends to go to the University of Minnesota, and he will
likely not play in the NHL for the following season either.
His offensive upside in the NHL is about 55 points, and you
won't see that for at least four years.
Other defensemen to watch:
Bob Sanguinetti A point-per-game rearguard for Owen Sound of
the OHL, and performed even better in the playoffs. His slight
build will not be as much of a liability in the new NHL, as it
was pre-lockout.
Ivan Vishnevsky All offense, in the same ilk as Sergei
Gonchar. It is possible that he could be taken ahead of
Sanguinetti if a team desperately wants the best power-play
quarterback in the draft.
Forwards
I like Jordan Staal the best out of these forwards. He is the
one forward who is a lock for the NHL. His bloodlines will see
to it that he gets every opportunity. His offensive upside is
limited to about 80 points, but the fact that he is so
low-risk makes him very desirable. Furthermore, I can see him
potting 55 or 60 points in the NHL at the age of 20.
The best of the best (offensively speaking) amongst the
forwards:
Nicklas Backstrom He may have the best hockey sense in the
draft. He could be in the NHL within two or three years, too,
depending on who drafts him. If it's the Capitals, he'll be in
the NHL by 2007. Imagine his vast hockey sense at center,
feeding pucks to a certain electrifying winger.
Derick Brassard He's a pure goal-scorer who has 50-goal
potential in the NHL. He needs to add some bulk, and he'll be
several years in coming, but he looks good. Chicago could pick
him up as early as third, or he may slip to Boston, Columbus,
or even the Islanders. On any of those teams, he'll be at
least three years away.
Phil Kessel He has slipped a little in my books, as his
heart is sometimes not in it. He is the most talented of the
forwards, but doesn't use it as much as one would like. He
draws comparisons to Jeremy Roenick, so it would be ironic if
Chicago picked him up third overall. Wherever he ends up,
he'll get a chance to crack the lineup within a year or two.
His lack of intensity makes me half expect him to slip further
down in the draft than rankings would indicate.
Jonathan Toews He is ranked very high because he is the
complete package. Leadership, offensive talent, defensive
acumen, and a great attitude. His upside in the NHL is limited
to about 75 points, but will take a little while getting
there. He could be a Blackhawk, come Saturday. Pittsburgh,
Washington and Boston are other possibilities.
Bryan Little He lacks speed and size, but thats about all.
He dominates games enough to make you think that the speed is
there. Little is a leader (captain of the Barrie Colts) and
has a lot of hockey sense. He would be a nice fit in Phoenix
or Florida in a few years. He could also slip out of the Top
10, bringing other teams into mix like Los Angeles, Atlanta,
or Toronto. The Leafs could do worse than draft him. He would
be entering the NHL just as Mats Sundin was leaving it.
Michael Frolik His stock has slipped dramatically, but I
liken him to Petr Sykora, whose stock also slipped and the
Devils snatched him up later in the first round. Frolik could
be a steal, and he's not that far away from an NHL roster
spot.
Patrick Berglund If you like taking big risks, and you're a
boom-or-bust type of keeper league owner, Berglund's your man.
He lacks bulk, and consistency, but there is no questioning
his offensive talent. He could pot 90 points in the NHL in
five or six years, or he could never crack the lineup.
One last player I would like to bring to your attention is
Nikolai Kulemin. He was passed over by all the teams in last
year's draft, but has really stepped up his game this year.
Besides Evgeni Malkin, Kulemin was the most impressive forward
on the Russian Team at the WJC, and his ranking has gone up
steadily ever since. He is now ranked around 60th. If
Pittsburgh grabs him in the second round, or he manages to
slip to them in the third round, he will step onto the roster
immediately. He has built-in chemistry with Malkin, so he
could step in approach 60 points right away. In the even that
another team picks him up, my interest in him will slip a
little, but I will still watch how he performs in training
camp.
For more
fantasy tips, visit www.dobberhockey.com

June 12, 2006 -
AHLers Proving Their Worth
June 5, 2006 -
Prospects Are Proving Their Worth,
Too
May
29, 2006 -
UFAs - Hidden Gems II
May
22, 2006 -
UFAs - Hidden Gems I
May 15, 2006 -
Sabres Rattling
May 08, 2006 -
Home Ice Advantage
Apr. 24, 2006 - Can Rangers Stop 'EGG' Line?
Apr. 17, 2006 - The Hot Hand Going Into the Playoffs
Apr. 10, 2006 - Big Second Lines Tough to Contain
Apr. 03, 2006 - Getzlaf as PP QB has Ducks Rolling
Mar. 27, 2006 - Bang For Your Buck
Mar. 20, 2006 - Deadline 2006 Fantasy Fallout, Part 2
Mar. 13, 2006 - Deadline 2006 Fantasy Fallout, Part 1
Mar. 06, 2006 - Trade Deadline Looms II
Feb. 27, 2006 - Break Over, Deadline Looms
Feb. 06, 2006 - Risky
Picks
Jan. 30, 2006 - The
Future of Boston
Jan. 23, 2006 - High-Flying
Canucks
Jan. 16, 2006 - Home
Sweet Home
Jan. 09, 2006 - He's
Baaack!
Jan. 02, 2006 - Young
Pens Get Their Shot |
Dec. 19, 2005 - The
'New' Sabres
Dec. 12, 2005 - Shark
Outlook Upgraded to 'Buy'
Dec. 05, 2005 - Rejoice
Over Recent Movement
Nov. 28, 2005 - The
Most Underrated Fantasy Player
Nov. 21, 2005 - Chemistry
in Chicago
Nov. 14, 2005 - Thrashers
the Net
Nov. 07, 2005 - King
of the L.A. blueline
Oct. 31, 2005 - October's
Best and Worst Fantasy Players
Oct. 24, 2005 - Wild
About Scoring
Oct. 17, 2005 - Striking
Gold Thanks to Linemates
Oct. 10, 2005 - A
Surprise Fantasy Asset
Oct. 03, 2005 - Last
of the Late Picks to Put You Over the Top
Sept. 26, 2005 - More
Late Picks to Put You Over the Top
Sept. 19, 2005 - Late
Picks to Make or Break Your Pool Team |
Dobber's
Fantasy Tips exclusively appear Monday's at
TheFourthPeriod.com.
Comments/Concerns/Criticisms/Compliments: rotohockey@rogers.com
|